Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 50.872470 57.130322 63.648411 70.926724 78.809294 87.071062 96.367233
2024-10-13 41.146860 50.293185 60.403867 72.330570 85.933747 100.885802 118.481007
2024-10-20 35.310622 45.834849 57.961201 72.805148 90.319275 110.161994 134.171266
2024-10-27 29.759383 40.862039 54.152545 70.971386 91.414741 115.187203 144.635332
2024-11-03 27.530325 39.560966 54.408229 73.691987 97.672640 126.111939 161.962403
2024-11-10 25.153945 37.765185 53.787374 75.109011 102.186539 134.876298 176.735948
2024-11-17 22.561475 35.399330 52.187063 75.064213 104.710240 141.112431 188.417716
2024-11-24 21.379536 34.804160 52.783435 77.762598 110.662378 151.607205 205.436145
2024-12-01 19.353678 32.830344 51.362174 77.656898 112.899451 157.392846 216.607056
2024-12-08 17.289664 30.606226 49.419674 76.686552 113.872498 161.486149 225.613968
2024-12-15 15.765738 29.041662 48.271852 76.685946 116.045940 167.079355 236.540702
2024-12-22 14.430447 27.642704 47.251224 76.765713 118.259470 172.697135 247.523202
2024-12-29 13.943579 27.576361 48.210006 79.729643 124.563341 183.928406 266.153606
2025-01-05 12.964529 26.631233 47.799699 80.696561 128.123405 191.588398 280.259364
2025-01-12 11.996471 25.609457 47.189663 81.302216 131.135508 198.509245 293.435670
2025-01-19 10.538403 23.601456 44.909976 79.296094 130.331386 200.178492 299.571707
2025-01-26 10.270489 23.675972 45.919046 82.252829 136.679776 211.697772 319.061310
2025-02-02 9.732920 23.208268 46.013743 83.790380 140.977959 220.435387 334.887950
2025-02-09 8.936197 22.180209 45.120598 83.741830 142.920668 225.901274 346.307760
2025-02-16 8.739859 22.286430 46.117109 86.668849 149.300808 237.648625 366.453344
2025-02-23 8.031588 21.317479 45.227979 86.554233 151.118185 242.974545 377.807143
2025-03-02 7.233802 20.083779 43.802042 85.501878 151.465291 246.183333 386.233082
2025-03-09 6.664221 19.265178 43.051548 85.501221 153.380044 251.627560 397.806648